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CoRe: Transferable Long-Range Time Series Forecasting Enhanced by Covariates-Guided Representation

Xin-Yi Li (State Key Laboratory for Novel Software Technology, Nanjing University); Pei-Nan Zhong (General Development Dept, Huawei Technologies Co. Ltd.); Di Chen (State Key Laboratory for Novel Software Technology, Nanjing University); Yu-Bin Yang (State Key Laboratory for Novel Software Technology, Nanjing University)

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06 Jun 2023

In recent years, long-range time series forecasting has been actively studied and shown promising results. Since they mainly focus on predicting time series with fixed dimension, they are inapplicable to the large-scale and ever-changing dataset, which is common in real-world applications. Besides, existing methods only take a window of the near past as input, which prevents the models from learning persistent historical patterns. To tackle these problems, we propose CoRe, a novel transferable long-term forecasting method enhanced by Covariates-guided Representation. By encoding the input series into a dense vector, CoRe is able to extract instance-wise global features. Specifically, the representation is learned by modeling the correlation between the target series and constructed auxiliary covariates, which is implemented by our proposed cross-dependency network. Comprehensive experiments on six real-world datasets show that CoRe achieves overall state-of-the-art results and could transfer to unseen data with stable performance.

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