MODELING PHONE CALL DURATIONS VIA SWITCHING POISSON PROCESSES WITH APPLICATIONS IN MENTAL HEALTH
Pablo Bonilla-Escribano,David Ram¡rez,Antonio Art‚s Rodr¡guez
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This work models phone call durations via switching Poisson point processes. This kind of processes is composed by two intertwined intensity functions: one models the start of a call, whereas the other one models when the call ends. Thus, the call duration is obtained from the inverse of the intensity function of finishing a call. Additionally, to model the circadian rhythm present in human behavior, we shall use a (positive) truncated Fourier series as the parametric form of the intensities. Finally, the maximum likelihood estimates of the intensity functions are obtained using a trust region method and the performance is evaluated on synthetic and real data, showing good results.